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Adjusted pairwise comparisons of prognostic Gleason grade

group were significantly different with the exception

of group II versus group III (

p

= 0.74) and group IV versus

group V (

p

= 0.32).

Among men treated with RP (

n

= 5058), the unadjusted

risks of PCSM and metastatic progression were successively

higher by pathologic prognostic Gleason categories

( Tables 2 and 4

). On multivariable Cox proportional hazards

regression analysis, relative to grade group I, all were

independently associated with risk of PCSM (

p

<

0.01).

Similar associations were observed for the risk of bone

metastatic progression among prognostic Gleason categories

( Table 4 )

.

Unadjusted outcomes based on extended Gleason grade,

reflecting the effect of uncoupling for prognostic grade

group V (patterns 4 + 5, 5 + 4, and 5 + 5) are depicted in

Figure 2

[7_TD$DIFF]

and

Table 3

[2_TD$DIFF]

. Adjusted pairwise comparison of

pattern 4 + 5 and pattern 5 + 4,

[3_TD$DIFF]

revealed no significant

difference

[8_TD$DIFF]

in risk of PCSM. In the subset of men treated with

RP, the risk of PCSM compared to group I also significantly

differed between the three conventional Gleason scores

contained within prognostic group V (

p

<

0.01;

Table 3

).

[4_TD$DIFF]

283 men experienced metastatic progression. Figures 1B

and 2B showKaplan-Meier survival plots of the time to bone

metastasis by prognostic grade group. Prognostic grade

group was associated with risk of bone metastasis. Relative

to grade group I, in unadjusted analysis the prognostic grade

group was associated with the risk of bone metastasis

(

p

<

0.01;

Table 4

). Among the prognostic categories,

adjusted pairwise comparisons revealed significant differ-

ences, with the exception of group II versus group III

(

p

= 0.81), and group IV versus group V (

p

= 0.48). Adjusted

pairwise comparisons among patterns 4 + 5, 5 + 4, and 5 + 5

revealed no significant differences (Supplementary Table 1).

[9_TD$DIFF]

Outcomes of by extended Gleason grade patterns are

presented in

Table 5

4.

Discussion

Comprehensible reporting of PCa histologic grades is likely

to have an impact on a disease characterized by diversity in

biology, clinical outcomes, management choices, and

quality of information

[15–17] .

This may be particularly

meaningful at the lower end of the spectrum, where high

Table 4 – Results of a Cox proportional hazards model examining factors associated with risk of bone metastasis among men within the

CaPSURE study based on proposed prognostic Gleason grade groupings

Independent variable

Biopsy grade (all treatments)

Surgical grade (RP only)

p

value

HR (95% CI)

p

value

HR (95% CI)

Univariate model

Gleason grade

I (2–6) (reference)

<

0.01

1.00

<

0.01

1.00

II (3 + 4)

2.20 (1.59–3.04)

1.76 (1.04–2.97)

III (4 + 3)

2.56 (1.72–3.82)

2.38 (1.21–4.68)

IV (8)

6.03 (4.33–8.40)

6.70 (3.92–11.4)

V (9–10)

7.31 (4.93–10.8)

9.66 (5.04–18.5)

Multivariate model

Gleason grade

I (2–6) (reference)

<

0.01

1.00

<

0.01

1.00

II (3 + 4)

2.08 (1.47–2.95)

1.96 (1.14–3.39)

III (4 + 3)

2.20 (1.41–3.43)

3.06 (1.47–6.38)

IV (8)

4.21 (2.90–6.13)

7.07 (4.02–12.4)

V (9–10)

4.98 (3.24–7.64)

8.04 (4.13–15.7)

Year of diagnosis

<

0.01

0.93 (0.90–0.96)

<

0.01

0.88 (0.83–0.92)

Age at diagnosis per 10 yr

0.13

1.16 (0.96–1.39)

0.42

1.14 (0.83–1.57)

Race

Other (reference)

0.09

1.00

0.05

1.00

African American

0.50 (0.25–0.99)

0.37 (0.10–1.45)

Caucasian

1.02 (0.72–1.44)

1.49 (0.71–3.13)

Log PSA at diagnosis

1.45

1.25 (1.69–1.45)

<

0.01

1.53 (1.17–2.00)

Clinical T stage

T1 (reference)

<

0.01

1.00

0.02

1.00

T2

1.59 (1.16–2.18)

1.43 (0.87–2.36)

T3/4

2.86 (1.82–4.50)

3.15 (1.45–6.84)

Primary treatment

RP (reference)

0.07

1.00

Brachytherapy

0.63 (0.35–1.11)

External beam radiation

1.21 (0.85–1.73)

Hormonal therapy

0.93 (0.60–1.42)

AS/WW

1.55 (0.91–2.64)

Clinical site

Academic center (reference)

0.40

1.00

0.01

1.00

Community-based practice

1.14 (0.65–2.00)

0.67 (0.32–1.41)

Veterans Affairs center

1.77 (0.74–4.24)

3.14 (0.90–11.0)

x

2

likelihood ratio

281.6

149.3

RP = radical prostatectomy; HR = hazard ratio; CI = confidence interval; PSA = prostate-specific antigen; AS = active surveillance; WW = watchful waiting.

E U R O P E A N U R O L O G Y 7 1 ( 2 0 1 7 ) 7 5 0 – 7 5 9

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