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4.

Discussion

This is the largest comparative study of outcomes exclu-

sively for patients with bGS 9–10 CaP. After adjusting for

age, clinical stage, bGS, initial PSA, year of treatment, and

use of salvage therapies, 5-yr and 10-yr CSS and OS rates

were similar across all three cohorts. We also found that

5-yr and 10-yr DMFS rates are significantly improved with

EBRT + BT when compared with either EBRT or RP. Thus, our

data suggest that EBRT-based treatments and RP are at least

equivalent for the treatment of bGS 9–10 CaP, with

extremely dose-escalated RT potentially offering the best

systemic control.

The equivalence of CSS and OS following EBRT-based

treatments and RP in our series differs from the majority of

prior comparative studies

[4–7]

. Importantly, the majority

of EBRT patients in prior studies received neither long-

course ADT nor high-dose RT. In contrast, the majority of RT

patients treated in our series were treated in accordance

with contemporary standards. Nearly 94% of EBRT patients

had upfront ADT with a median duration of 24 mo and 97%

of EBRT patients received doses isoeffective to, or higher

than, 75.6 Gy in 1.8-Gy fractions (the high-dose arm in a

randomized trial demonstrating a systemic control benefit

to dose-escalation)

[10] .

On subset analyses, the total

radiation dose was associated with improved long-term

outcomes—an effect likely driven by the EBRT + BT cohort.

An inability to identify an effect for ADT duration might be

related to the homogeneity of ADT duration within the EBRT

and EBRT + BT cohorts, and given the small numbers of

patients who received no ADT or short-term ADT, our study

may not have been powered to detect an effect from ADT

duration. Thus, our data suggest that comparisons between

RP and substandard EBRT techniques should be regarded

with caution.

Several other details warrant consideration. Firstly,

post-RP BCRs are diagnosed at a lower PSA threshold than

post-RT BCRs, introducing bias when comparing frequency.

Table 3 – Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariate Cox regression of clinical outcomes.

Kaplan-Meier analysi

s a

Multivariate Cox regression

Clinical outcome

5-yr

10-yr

HR

95% CI

p

value

Biochemical recurrence

EBRT vs RP (%)

28.2% vs 73.

6 a

39.7% vs 83.

8 b

0.21

(0.14, 0.32)

<

0.0001

EBRT + BT vs EBRT (%)

17.1% vs 28.2

30.0% vs 39.7

0.76

(0.44, 1.32)

0.33

EBRT + BT vs RP (%)

17.1% vs 73.

6 a

30.0% vs 83.

8 b

0.16

(0.09, 0.28)

<

0.0001

Distant metastasis

EBRT vs RP (%)

21.3 vs 20.9

33.3 vs 38.5

0.78

(0.45, 1.35)

0.37

EBRT + BT vs EBRT (%)

5.4 vs 21.

3 a

10.2 vs 33.

3 a

0.30

(0.12, 0.72)

0.008

EBRT + BT vs RP (%)

5.4 vs 20.

9 a

10.2 vs 38.

5 a

0.23

(0.09, 0.6)

0.003

Prostate cancer specific mortality

EBRT vs RP (%)

8.4%vs 8.3

19.5 vs 21.5

0.75

(0.34, 1.65)

0.47

EBRT + BT vs EBRT (%)

4.4 vs 8.4

11.9 vs 19.5

0.64

(0.24, 1.71)

0.37

EBRT + BT vs RP (%)

4.4 vs 8.3

11.9 vs 21.5

0.48

(0.16, 1.4)

0.18

Overall survival

EBRT vs RP (%)

79.9 vs 90.3

65.3 vs 72.1

1.07

(0.58, 1.98)

0.82

EBRT + BT vs EBRT (%)

84.7 vs 79.9

59.2 vs 65.3

0.99

(0.58, 1.69)

0.98

EBRT + BT vs RP (%)

84.7 vs 90.3

59.2 vs 72.1

1.06

(0.53, 2.12)

0.86

CI = confidence interval; BT = brachytherapy; EBRT = external beam radiotherapy; HR = hazard ratio; RP = radical prostatectomy; RT = radiotherapy.

a

The Kaplan-Meier analysis was not adjusted for age, Gleason score, clinical T stage, or initial prostate-specific antigen, and comparisons between cohorts

was performed using the log-rank test. The multivariate Cox regression model derived-hazard ratios are adjusted for age, Gleason score, clinical T-stage,

initial prostate-specific antigen, year of treatment, local salvage (with time to salvage as a covariate), and systemic salvage (with time to salvage as a

covariate) and refer to outcomes through 10 yr of follow-up (Cox analysis for outcomes through 5 yr of follow-up can be found in Supplementary

Table 2

).

For example, a hazard ratio

<

1 for the comparison external beam radiotherapy versus radical prostatectomy suggests that the given outcome (eg,

biochemical recurrence) has a lower hazard of occurring with external beam radiotherapy versus with radical prostatectomy.

b

These comparisons showed statistically significant differences on Kaplan-Meier survival analysis.

Table 4 – Multivariate Cox regression of clinical outcomes by

subgroups.

Clinical outcome

HR

95% CI

p

value

Biochemical recurrenc

e a

Total RT dose

0.95

(0.91, 0.98)

0.0043

ADT duration

1.00

(0.99, 1.01)

0.48

Distant metastasis

Total RT dose

0.91

(0.87, 0.96)

0.0001

ADT duration

1.01

(1, 1.02)

0.26

Salvage RT

0.47

(0.19, 1.15)

0.099

Adjuvant RT

0.86

(0.2, 3.72)

0.84

Prostate cancer specific mortality

Total RT dose

0.93

(0.87, 0.99)

0.020

ADT duration

1.01

(1, 1.02)

0.051

Salvage RT

0.53

(0.19, 1.5)

0.23

Adjuvant RT

0.55

(0.07, 4.23)

0.57

Overall survival

Total RT dose

0.98

(0.95, 1.01)

0.23

ADT duration

1.00

(0.99, 1.01)

0.53

Salvage RT

0.47

(0.19, 1.15)

0.099

Adjuvant RT

0.86

(0.2, 3.72)

0.84

ADT = androgen deprivation therapy; CI = confidence interval; HR = hazard

ratio; RT = radiotherapy.

a

The multivariate Cox regression model derived-hazard ratios are

adjusted for age, Gleason score, clinical T-stage, and initial prostate-specific

antigen, year of treatment, local salvage (with time to salvage as a

covariate), and systemic salvage (with time to salvage as a covariate) and

refer to outcomes through 10 yr of follow-up. Hazard ratios

<

1 suggest the

outcome (eg, distant metastasis) has a lower hazard of occurring with

higher values of continuous variables (total radiotherapy dose or androgen

deprivation therapy duration) or ‘‘yes’’ for binary variables (salvage

radiotherapy or adjuvant radiotherapy).

E U R O P E A N U R O L O G Y 7 1 ( 2 0 1 7 ) 7 6 6 – 7 7 3

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